Arbeitspapier

Pareto Models, Top Incomes, and Recent Trends in UK Income Inequality

I determine UK income inequality levels and trends by combining inequality estimates from tax return data (for the 'rich') and household survey data (for the 'non-rich'), taking advantage of the better coverage of top incomes in tax return data (which I demonstrate) and creating income variables in the survey data with the same definitions as in the tax data to enhance comparability. For top income recipients, I estimate inequality and mean income by fitting Pareto models to the tax data, examining specification issues in depth, notably whether to use Pareto I or Pareto II (generalised Pareto) models, and the choice of income threshold above which the Pareto models apply. The preferred specification is a Pareto II model with a threshold set at the 99th or 95th percentile (depending on year). Conclusions about aggregate UK inequality trends since the mid-1990s are robust to the way in which tax data are employed. The Gini coefficient for gross individual income rose by around 7% or 8% between 1996/97 and 2007/08, with most of the increase occurring after 2003/04. The corresponding estimate based wholly on the survey data is around –5%.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 10124

Classification
Wirtschaft
Specific Distributions; Specific Statistics
Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Subject
inequality
top incomes
Pareto distribution
generalized Pareto distribution
survey under-coverage
HBAI
SPI

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jenkins, Stephen P.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jenkins, Stephen P.
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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