Preprint

Estimating the Effective Lower Bound for the Czech National Bank's Policy Rate

The paper focuses on the estimation of the effective lower bound for the Czech National Bank's policy rate. The effective lower bound is determined by the value below which holding and using cash would be more convenient than deposits with negative yields. This bound is approximated based on storage, the insurance and transportation costs of cash and the costs associated with the loss of the convenience of cashless payments and complemented with the estimate based on interest charges, which present direct costs to the profitability of the bank. Overall, the estimated value is below -1% and is approximately in the interval -1.6%, -1.1%. In addition, by means of a vector autoregression, we show that the potential of negative rates would not be sufficient to deliver monetary policy easing with effects similar to those of the exchange rate commitment.

Language
Englisch

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
effective lower bound
negative interest rates
costs of holding cash
transmission of monetary policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kolcunova, Dominika
Havranek, Tomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Czech National Bank
(where)
Prague
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Preprint

Associated

  • Kolcunova, Dominika
  • Havranek, Tomas
  • Czech National Bank

Time of origin

  • 2018

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