Arbeitspapier

Shifting taxes from labor to consumption: More employment and more inequality

This paper investigates the effect of shifting taxes from labor income to consumption on labor supply and the distribution of income in Germany. We simulate stepwise increases in the value-added tax (VAT) rate, which are compensated by revenue-neutral reductions in income-related taxes. We differentiate between the personal income tax (PIT) and social security contributions (SSC). Based on a dual data base and a microsimulation model of household labor supply behavior, we find a regressive impact of such a tax shift in the short run. When accounting for labor supply adjustments, the adverse distributional impact persists for PIT reductions, while the overall effects on inequality and progressivity become lower when payroll taxes are reduced. This is partly due to increases in aggregate labor supply, resulting from higher work incentives.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 15-042

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Thema
income and payroll taxes
consumption taxes
microsimulation
inequality
Germany

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Pestel, Nico
Sommer, Eric
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2015

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-394727
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Pestel, Nico
  • Sommer, Eric
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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