Arbeitspapier

Parameter estimation and inference with spatial lags and cointegration

We study dynamic panel data models where the long run outcome for a particular cross-section is affected by a weighted average of the outcomes in the other cross-sections. We show that imposing such a structure implies several cointegrating relationships that are nonlinear in the coefficients to be estimated. Assuming that the weights are exogenously given, we extend the dynamic ordinary least squares methodology and provide a dynamic two-stage least squares estimator. We derive the large sample properties of our proposed estimator and investigate its small sample distribution in a simulation study. Then our methodology is applied to US financial market data, which consist of credit default swap spreads, firm specific and industry data. A closeness measure for firms is based on input-output matrices. Our estimates show that this particular form of spatial correlation of credit default spreads is substantial and highly significant.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Reihe Ökonomie / Economics Series ; No. 296

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Subject
dynamic ordinary least squares
cointegration
credit risk
spatial autocorrelation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mutl, Jan
Sögner, Leopold
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mutl, Jan
  • Sögner, Leopold
  • Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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