Arbeitspapier

Regulatory stress testing and bank performance

This paper investigates the impact of stress testing results on bank's equity and CDS performance using a large sample of twelve tests from the US CCAR and the European EBA regimes in the time period from 2010 to 2018. We find that passing banks experience positive abnormal equity returns and tighter CDS spreads, while failing banks show strong drops in equity prices and widening CDS spreads. We also document strong market reactions at the announcement date of the stress tests. Although the institutional designs between US and European stress tests differ, we generally observe similar capital market consequences for both regimes. We complement existing studies by investigating the predictability of stress test outcomes and evaluating strategic options for affected banks and investors.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFR Working Paper ; No. 20-03

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Economics: General
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Subject
Banks
Stress Testing
Equity Performance
CDS Performance

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ahnert, Lukas
Vogt, Pascal
Vonhoff, Volker
Weigert, Florian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR)
(where)
Cologne
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ahnert, Lukas
  • Vogt, Pascal
  • Vonhoff, Volker
  • Weigert, Florian
  • University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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