Arbeitspapier

Estimation of DSGE models: Maximum likelihood vs. Bayesian methods

DSGE models are typically estimated using Bayesian methods, but a researcher may want to estimate a DSGE model with full information maximum likelihood (FIML) so as to avoid the use of prior distributions. A very robust algorithm is needed to find the global maximum within the relevant parameter space. I suggest such an algorithm and show that it is possible to estimate the model of Smets and Wouters (2007) using FIML. Inference is carried out using stochastic bootstrapping techniques. Several FIML estimates turn out to be significantly different from the Bayesian estimates and the reasons behind those differences are analyzed.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2015:6

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
Bayesian methods
Maximum likelihood
Business Cycles
Estimate DSGE models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mickelsson, Glenn
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Uppsala University, Department of Economics
(where)
Uppsala
(when)
2015

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-270200
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mickelsson, Glenn
  • Uppsala University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2015

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