Arbeitspapier

Fundamental determinants of the long run real exchange rate: The case of Norway

Modelling the Norwegian exchange rate against a basket of currencies, we find a robust long-term link between the real exchange rate and real interest differential that is consistent with purchasing power parity (PPP) and uncovered interest parity (UIP). However, PPP alone is rejected. These findings are confirmed focusing on the Norwegian bilateral exchange rate with Germany and (possibly) Sweden, but rejected against the UK and the US. We argue that rejection of bilateral relationships may result from idiosyncratic shocks in the different countries that may be negligible when modelling against a basket of currencies.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 326

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Foreign Exchange
Subject
Purchasing power parity
uncovered interest parity
cointegration VAR.

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bjørnland, Hilde Christiane
Hungnes, Håvard
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bjørnland, Hilde Christiane
  • Hungnes, Håvard
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Time of origin

  • 2002

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