Arbeitspapier

Irreversible investments, dynamic inconsistency and policy convergence

We study a model where two parties, one from the left and one from the right, compete for position. The election is to be held in the near future and the outcome is uncertain. Prior to the election, the members of both parties nominate their prime ministerial candidates. Investors care about the outcome since they may invest in irreversible domestic production capital. We find that there is political convergence in the nomination process. In some circumstances, it is only the median voter of the left-wing party that elects a more moderate candidate. In other instances, the members of both parties nominate more “conservative” candidates, but there is still convergence. We also show that a higher probability of the left winning the election increases the degree of convergence, while a more globalised economy (greater capital mobility) reduces it.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 1910

Classification
Wirtschaft
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
International Investment; Long-term Capital Movements
Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies; includes inheritance and gift taxes
Capitalist Systems: Political Economy
Subject
Wahlverhalten
Investition
Politische Partei
Politisches Ziel

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hagen, Rune Jansen
Torsvik, Gaute
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hagen, Rune Jansen
  • Torsvik, Gaute
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2007

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