Climate change, temperature extremes, and conflict: Evidence from mainland Southeast Asia

Arbeitspapier

We exploit 0.5ê×0.5ê raster data for mainland Southeast Asia from 2010 to 2020 to document a non-linear relationship between extreme temperature days and conflict. We show that the occurrence of conflict events increases with extreme maximum temperature days, whereas days with extreme minimum temperature decrease the occurrence of conflict. Because climate change makes both maximum and minimum temperature extremes more likely, these effects partially offset each other on aggregate. However, our results further suggest that the impact of extreme maximum and minimum temperature days differs for the type of conflict, actors involved and population affected, indicating complex distributional consequences.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: IRENE Working Paper ; No. 23-05

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming ; Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products ; National Security and War ; Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions ; Other Economic Systems: Political Economy; Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
• Subject: Climate change ; adaptation ; conflict ; extreme temperature

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Gasser, André Tashi ; Lanz, Bruno
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): University of Neuchâtel, Institute of Economic Research (IRENE)
• (where): Neuchâtel
• (when): 2023

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/283427
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET