Arbeitspapier

Heterogeneous life-cycle profiles, income risk and consumption inequality

Was the increase in income inequality in the US due to permanent shocks or merely to an increase in the variance of transitory shocks? The implications for consumption and welfare depend crucially on the answer to this question. We use CEX repeated cross-section data on consumption and income to decompose idiosyncratic changes in income into predictable life-cycle changes, transitory and permanent shocks and estimate the contribution of each to total inequality. Our model fits the joint evolution of consumption and income inequality well and delivers two main results. First, we find that permanent changes in income explain all of the increase in inequality in the 1980s and 90s. Second, we reconcile this finding with the fact that consumption inequality did not increase much over this period. Our results support the view that many permanent changes in income are predictable for consumers, even if they look unpredictable to the econometrician, consistent with models of heterogeneous income profiles.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 3239

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Thema
Consumption
inequality
risk
incomplete markets
heterogeneity
Wirtschaftslage
Schock
Risiko
Einkommensverteilung
Konsum
Wohlfahrtseffekt
Lebenszyklus
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Primiceri, Giorgio E.
van Rens, Thijs
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:22 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Primiceri, Giorgio E.
  • van Rens, Thijs
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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