Arbeitspapier
International capital flow pressures and global factors
The risk sensitivity of international capital flow pressures is explored using a new Exchange Market Pressure index that combines pressures observed in exchange rate adjustments with model-based estimates of incipient pressures that are masked by foreign exchange interventions and policy rate adjustments. The sensitivity of capital flow pressures to risk sentiment, including for so-called safe-haven currencies, evolves over time, varies significantly across countries, and differs between normal times and extreme stress events. Across countries, risk sensitivities and safe-haven status are associated with selffulfilling exchange rate expectations and carry trade funding currencies. In contrast, association with more traditional macroeconomic country characteristics is weak.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Staff Report ; No. 1051
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Financial Institutions and Services: General
- Thema
-
exchange market pressure
risk aversion
safe haven
capital flows
exchange rates
foreign exchange intervention
global financial cycle
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Goldberg, Linda S.
Krogstrup, Signe
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- (wo)
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New York, NY
- (wann)
-
2023
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Goldberg, Linda S.
- Krogstrup, Signe
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Entstanden
- 2023