Arbeitspapier

Mandatory Seatbelt Laws and Traffic Fatalities: A Reassessment

Using data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System for the period 1983-1997, Cohen and Einav (Review of Economics and Statistics 2003; 85(4): 828–843) found that mandatory seatbelt laws were associated with a 4 to 6 percent reduction in traffic fatalities among motor vehicle occupants. After successfully replicating their two-way fixed effects estimates, we (1) add 22 years of data (1998-2019) to capture additional seatbelt policy variation and observe a longer post-treatment period, (2) employ the interaction-weighted estimator proposed by Sun and Abraham (2021) to address potential bias due to heterogeneous and dynamic treatment effects, and (3) estimate event-study models to investigate pre-treatment trends and explore lagged post-treatment effects. Consistent with Cohen and Einav (2003), our updated estimates show that primary seatbelt laws are associated with a 5 to 9 percent reduction in fatalities among motor vehicle occupants. Estimated effects of secondary seatbelt laws are smaller in magnitude and sensitive to model choice.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15843

Classification
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Health Behavior
Energy, Environmental, Health, and Safety Law
Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
Subject
mandatory seatbelt laws
traffic fatalities
traffic safety

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Anderson, D. Mark
Liang, Yang
Sabia, Joseph J.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Anderson, D. Mark
  • Liang, Yang
  • Sabia, Joseph J.
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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