Arbeitspapier

The role of a changing market environment for credit default swap pricing

This paper investigates the impact of a changing market environment on the pricing of CDS spreads written on debt from EURO STOXX 50 firms. A Panel Smooth Transition Regression reveals that parameter estimates of standard CDS fundamentals are time-varying depending on current values of a set of variables such as ECB's systemic stress composite index, the Sentix index for current and future economics situation, and the VStoxx. These variables describe the market's transition between different regimens thereby reflecting the impact of substantial swings in agents' risk perception on CDS spreads. Overall, our results confirm the importance of nonlinearities in the pricing of risk derivatives during tranquil and turbulent times.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1946

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
International Financial Markets
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Thema
CDS spreads
Financial Crisis
Panel Smooth Transition

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Leppin, Julian S.
Reitz, Stefan
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2014

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Leppin, Julian S.
  • Reitz, Stefan
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2014

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