Arbeitspapier

Trade, wages and productivity

We develop a new general equilibrium model of trade with heterogeneous firms, variable demand elasticities and endogenously determined wages. Trade integration favours wage convergence, boosts competition, and forces the least efficient firms to leave the market, thereby affecting aggregate productivity. Since wage and productivity responses are endogenous, our model is well suited to studying the impact of trade integration on aggregate productivity and factor prices. Using Canada-US interregional trade data, we first estimate a system of theory-based gravity equations under the general equilibrium constraints generated by the model. Doing so allows us to measure 'border effects' and to decompose them into a 'pure' border effect, relative and absolute wage effects, and a selection effect. Using the estimated parameter values, we then quantify the impact of removing the Canada-US border on wages, productivity, mark-ups, the share of exporters, the mass of varieties produced and consumed, and thus welfare. Finally, we provide a similar quantification with respect to regional population changes.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: NBB Working Paper ; No. 161

Classification
Wirtschaft
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Economic Integration
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Subject
heterogeneous firms
gravity equations
general equilibrium
monopolistic competition
variable demand elasticities
Regionale Wirtschaftsintegration
Wirtschaftsintegration
Grenzregion
Lohn
Produktivität
Gravitationsmodell
Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
Monopolistischer Wettbewerb
Kanada
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Behrens, Kristian
Mion, Giordano
Murata, Yasusada
Südekum, Jens
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
National Bank of Belgium
(where)
Brussels
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Behrens, Kristian
  • Mion, Giordano
  • Murata, Yasusada
  • Südekum, Jens
  • National Bank of Belgium

Time of origin

  • 2009

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