Arbeitspapier

Some like it hot: Assessing longer-term labor market benefits from a high-pressure economy

This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high-unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a high-pressure economy during the preceding expansion. Breaking total exposure into average intensity and duration suggests that these two dimensions have differing impacts depending on the outcome. Additionally, benefits are typically only statistically significantly different from no exposure for only a relatively few demographic groups.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2018-1

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Subject
hysteresis
unemployment
labor market gaps
labor force participation
wage gaps

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hotchkiss, Julie L.
Moore, Robert E.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(where)
Atlanta, GA
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hotchkiss, Julie L.
  • Moore, Robert E.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Time of origin

  • 2018

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