Artikel

Output gap in the Czech economy4DDSGE approach

This paper presents three measures of the output gap estimated by a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Czech economy. We argue that the most plausible description of the business cycle provides the output gap defined as a deviation from a flexible price level of output, which is generated solely by permanent growth shocks. Our model shows that 2006-2008 overheating of the economy and the following 2008-2009 slump can be largely attributed to development in a world economy and export and import sectors, while the 2012-2013 recession was caused mainly by a combination of adverse domestic demand and cost shocks.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Review of Economic Perspectives ; ISSN: 1804-1663 ; Volume: 19 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 137-156 ; Warsaw: De Gruyter

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Thema
DSGE model
labour market
output gap
small open economy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bechný, Jakub
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
De Gruyter
(wo)
Warsaw
(wann)
2019

DOI
doi:10.2478/revecp-2019-0008
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Bechný, Jakub
  • De Gruyter

Entstanden

  • 2019

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