Arbeitspapier

Spatial considerations on the PPP debate

This paper studies the influence of aggregating across space when (i) testing the PPP theory or more generally pair-wise cointegration and (ii) evaluating the PPP puzzle. Our contribution is threefold: we show that aggregating foreign data and applying an ADF test may lead to erroneously reject the PPP hypothesis. We then show, on the basis of theoretical arguments as well as Monte Carlo experiments, that a sizable bias in the estimates of half-life deviations to PPP may be due to the effect of aggregation across space. We finally illustrate empirically the importance of spatial considerations when estimating the speed of price convergence among euro area countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1534

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
aggregation across space
cointegration
Half-life estimates
PPP
price convergence

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ca' Zorzi, Michele
Chudik, Alexander
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ca' Zorzi, Michele
  • Chudik, Alexander
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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