Up for count? Central bank words and financial stress

Arbeitspapier

While knowing there is a financial distress when you see it might be true, it is not particularly helpful. Indeed, central banks have an interest in understanding more systematically how their communication affects the markets, not least in order to avoid unnecessary volatility; the markets for their part have an interest in better deciphering the message of central banks, especially of course with regard to the conduct of future monetary policy. In this paper we use a novel approach rooted in textual analysis to begin to address these issues. Building on previous work from textual analysis, we are able to use quantitative methods to help identify and measure financial stress. We apply the techniques to the European Central Bank's Monthly Bulletin and show that the results give a much more complete and nuanced picture of market distress than those based only on market data and may help improve how the Central Bank's communication is designed and understood.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 252

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General ; Central Banks and Their Policies ; General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
• Subject: financial stress ; central bank communication ; textual analysis ; logit distribution ; Geldpolitik ; Staatliche Information ; Bibliometrie ; Zentralbank ; EU-Staaten

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Blix Grimaldi, Marianna
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Sveriges Riksbank
• (where): Stockholm
• (when): 2011

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/81892
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET