Arbeitspapier

Democratic Tipping Points

I examine whether transitory events can tip the scales against authoritarian regimes and lead to persistent democratization. I think of situations where this is a possibility as democratic tipping points. The transitory events I focus on are rainfall shocks in the most agricultural countries in the world. I show that while these shocks only affect agricultural output contemporaneously, they have persistent effects on political institutions. Authoritarian regimes experiencing negative rainfall shocks are more likely to be democratic three, five, and ten years later.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6945

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
transitory shocks
persistent democratization

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ciccone, Antonio
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ciccone, Antonio
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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