Arbeitspapier

Divergence – Is it geography?

This paper tests a geography and growth model using regional data for Europe, the US, and Japan. We set up a standard geography and growth model with a poverty trap and derive a log-linearized growth equation that corresponds directly to a threshold regression technique in econometrics. In particular, we test whether regions with high population density (centers) grow faster and have a permanently higher per capita income than regions with low population density (peripheries). We find geography driven divergence for US states and European regions after 1980. Population density is superior in explaining divergence compared to initial income which the most important official EU eligibility criterium for regional aid is built on. Divergence is stronger on smaller regional units (NUTS3) than on larger ones (NUTS2). Human capital and R&D are likely candidates for transmission channels of divergence processes.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: HWWA Discussion Paper ; No. 181

Classification
Wirtschaft
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Subject
threshold estimation
new economic geography
regional income
growth
poverty trap
regime shifts
bootstrap
Regionale Disparität
Regionales Wachstum
Neue ökonomische Geographie
Kern-Peripherie-Beziehung
Entwicklungskonvergenz
Wachstumstheorie
Agglomerationseffekt
EU-Staaten
Vereinigte Staaten
Japan
poverty trap model

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Straubhaar, Thomas
Suhrcke, Marc
Urban, Dieter M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA)
(where)
Hamburg
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Straubhaar, Thomas
  • Suhrcke, Marc
  • Urban, Dieter M.
  • Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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