Arbeitspapier

Limited household risk sharing: General equilibrium implications for the term structure of interest rates

We present a theory in which limited risk sharing of idiosyncratic labor income risk plays a key role in determining the dynamics of interest rates. Our production-based model relates the crosssectional distribution of labor income risk to observable aggregate labor market variables. Our model makes two key predictions. First, it predicts positive risk premia for long-term bonds while simultaneously matching key macroeconomic moments. Second, it predicts a negative correlation between current labor market conditions (as measured by labor market tightness or the job-finding rate) and future bond excess returns. We provide evidence for these predictions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2020-20

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Thema
interest rates
nondiversifiable labor income risk
labor market frictions
bond risk premia

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mitra, Indrajit
Xu, Yu
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(wo)
Atlanta, GA
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.29338/wp2020-20
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mitra, Indrajit
  • Xu, Yu
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Entstanden

  • 2020

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