Arbeitspapier

Social security incidence under uncertainty assessing Italian reforms

This paper analyzes the welfare effects of the Italian social security system in an economy with uncertainty on wages, financial market returns and life expectancy. The introduction of a pension system reproducing the Italian statutory scheme turns out to decrease ex-ante individual welfare, unless restrictions are assumed on retirement behavior. Overall, risk insurance effects of social security play a minor role in determining welfare variations. The new Italian NDC pension system is shown to yield a slight ex-ante welfare improvement from a purely risk-insurance perspective. This relative gain stems from risk diversification across working-life wages in computing benefits.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2812

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Social Security and Public Pensions
Taxation and Subsidies: Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
Thema
social security reforms
uncertainty
risk insurance
Rentenreform
Sozialversicherung
Lohn
Kapitalertrag
Sterblichkeit
Risiko
Wohlfahrtseffekt
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Geron, Devis
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2009

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Geron, Devis
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2009

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