Arbeitspapier

By how much does conflict reduce financial development?

Financial development is vulnerable to social conflict. Conflict reduces the demand for domestic currency as a medium of exchange and a store of value. Conflict also leads to poor quality governance, including weak regulation of the financial system, thereby undermining the sustainability of financial institutions. Conflict therefore reduces the social return to financial liberalization and other financial-sector reforms. This paper presents a theoretical model integrating the effects of conflict and financial liberalization, and then tests the model on data for 79 countries. Using an explanatory variable that measures the intensity of conflict (from low to high) the results show that conflict significantly reduces financial development, and that this negative effect increases as conflict intensifies. The paper concludes that conflict reduction is essential if financial reform is to have its full benefit for development.

ISBN
9291902195
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Discussion Paper ; No. 2002/48

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
Subject
financial development
conflict
financial regulation
Finanzmarkt
Kapitalmarktliberalisierung
Sozialer Konflikt
Theorie
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Addison, Tony
Chowdhury, Abdur R.
Murshed, S. Mansoob
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Addison, Tony
  • Chowdhury, Abdur R.
  • Murshed, S. Mansoob
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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