Arbeitspapier

Revisiting the link between growth and federalism: A Bayesian model averaging approach

Following the ambiguous results in the literature aimed at understanding the empirical link between fiscal federalism and economic growth, this paper revisits the question using a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. The analysis suggests that the failure to appropriately account for model uncertainty may have previously led to biased estimates. The results from a sample of 23 OECD countries over 1975-2000 indicate that after controlling for unobserved country heterogeneity, there is no robust link, neither positive, nor negative, between output growth and fiscal federalism (measured as sub-national governments' share of own source tax revenue).

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 13-049

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations: General
Institutions and Growth
Subject
Fiscal Federalism
Economic Growth
Bayesian Model Averaging

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Asatryan, Zareh
Feld, Lars P.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2013

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-343415
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Asatryan, Zareh
  • Feld, Lars P.
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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