Arbeitspapier

Exit Polls and Voter Turnout

We set up a model of elections or referendums with two alternatives to study how voter turnout and election outcomes are affected by the publication of exit polls on election day. We find that the introduction of an exit poll influences the incentive to vote both before and after the poll is published, but the signs of the effects are generally ambiguous. The fact that exit polls influence the incentive to vote before they are even published is sometimes overlooked in the debate on their desirability. We show that this can lead to premature conclusions about the impact of exit polls on election outcomes.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: EPRU Working Paper Series ; No. 2010-10

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Thema
elections
exit polls
voter turnout
Wahlverhalten
Asymmetrische Information
Neue politische Ökonomie
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Andersen, Asger Lau
Jensen, Thomas
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)
(wo)
Copenhagen
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Andersen, Asger Lau
  • Jensen, Thomas
  • University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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