Arbeitspapier

International trade and monopolistic competition without CES: Estimating translog gravity

This paper derives a micro-founded gravity equation in general equilibrium based on a translog demand system that allows for endogenous markups and rich substitution patterns across goods. In contrast to standard CES-based gravity equations, trade is more sensitive to trade costs if the exporting country only provides a small share of the destination country's imports. As a result, trade costs have a heterogeneous impact across country pairs, with some trade flows predicted to be zero. I test the translog gravity equation and find strong empirical support in its favor. In an application to the currency union effect, I find that a currency union is only associated with substantially higher bilateral trade if the exporting country provides a small share of the destination country's imports. For other pairs, the currency union effect is modest or indistinguishable from zero.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3008

Classification
Wirtschaft
Neoclassical Models of Trade
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Economic Integration
Subject
translog
trade costs
gravity
currency union
monopolistic competition
trade cost elasticity
heterogeneity
zero trade
Außenwirtschaft
Kosten
Gravitationsmodell
Mikroökonomische Fundierung
Monopolistischer Wettbewerb
Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
Währungsunion
Schätzung
OECD-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Novy, Dennis
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Novy, Dennis
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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