Arbeitspapier

China’s Belt and Road initiative: can Europe expect trade gains?

The Belt and Road initiative, recently embarked on by China, aims to improve cross-border infrastructure in order to reduce transportation costs across a massive geographical area between China and Europe. The authors estimate how much trade might be created among Belt and Road countries as a consequence of the reduction in transportation costs (both railway and maritime) and find that European Union countries, especially landlocked countries, should benefit considerably. This is also true for eastern Europe and Central Asia and, to a lesser extent, south-east Asia. In contrast, if China were to seek to establish a free trade area within the Belt and Road region, EU member states would benefit less, while Asia would benefit more. Xi Jinping’s current vision for the Belt and Road, centred on improving transport infrastructure, is very good news for Europe as far as trade creation is concerned.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bruegel Working Paper ; No. 2016/05

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Economic Order and Integration
International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Subject
China
Belt & Road initiative
infrastructure
international economic system

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
García-Herrero, Alicia
Xu, Jianwei
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bruegel
(where)
Brussels
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • García-Herrero, Alicia
  • Xu, Jianwei
  • Bruegel

Time of origin

  • 2016

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