Arbeitspapier

How might a central bank report uncertainty?

An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single macroeconometric model to make its forecasts and guide its policies. Suggestions are then made as to what might be feasible for a central bank to report given that it is unlikely to be willing to commit to a single model. A particular model is used as an illustration.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Economics Discussion Papers ; No. 2014-25

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
Subject
central bank
uncertainty
stochastic simulation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fair, Ray C.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fair, Ray C.
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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