Arbeitspapier

Nonparametric identification of dynamic models with unobserved state variables

We consider the identification of a Markov process {Wt,Xt*} for t = 1, 2, ... , T when only {Wt} for t = 1, 2, ... , T is observed. In structural dynamic models, Wt denotes the sequence of choice variables and observed state variables of an optimizing agent, while Xt* denotes the sequence of serially correlated unobserved state variables. The Markov setting allows the distribution of the unobserved state variable Xt* to depend on Wt-1 and Xt-1*. We show that the joint distribution f Wt, Xt* | Wt-1, Xt-1* is identified from the observed distribution f Wt+1, Wt | Wt-1, Wt-2, Wt-3 under reasonable assumptions. Identification of f Wt, Xt*, Wt-1, Xt-1* is a crucial input in methodologies for estimating dynamic models based on the conditional-choice-probability (CCP) approach pioneered by Hotz and Miller.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 543

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Markovscher Prozess
Ökonometrie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hu, Yingyao
Shum, Matthew
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics
(where)
Baltimore, MD
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hu, Yingyao
  • Shum, Matthew
  • The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2008

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