Artikel

Brexit, uncertainty, and migration decisions

We leverage the British Brexit referendum decision to leave the European Union, to demonstrate how changes in uncertainty about a country's future socio‐political condition can impact migratory behaviour. Using official bilateral migration statistics, we report an excess increase in migration from the UK to the EU of approximately 16% post‐referendum, compared to movements between the remaining EU countries over the same period. In addition, we analyse in‐depth interviews conducted with UK migrants in Germany to show that uncertainty about future bilateral relations, a negative economic outlook, and perceptions of negative social consequences in the UK have been by far the most dominant drivers of migration in the post‐referendum period. We further corroborate the effect of changes in uncertainty on migration‐related behaviour with exceptional spikes in naturalisations, indicating that UK citizens living in other EU member states are actively taking decisions to mitigate the negative impact that Brexit is having on their livelihoods.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: International Migration ; ISSN: 1468-2435 ; Volume: 61 ; Year: 2022 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 88-103 ; Hoboken, NJ: Wiley

Klassifikation
Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie, Anthropologie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Auer, Daniel
Tetlow, Daniel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Wiley
(wo)
Hoboken, NJ
(wann)
2022

DOI
doi:10.1111/imig.13079
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Auer, Daniel
  • Tetlow, Daniel
  • Wiley

Entstanden

  • 2022

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