Arbeitspapier

Political cycles in income from privatization: The case of Albania

The phenomenon of manipulation of the economy by the incumbent for electoral purpose is called Political Business Cycles (PBC). Using policy control economic instruments, such as fiscal and monetary instruments, governments may manipulate the economy to gain electoral advantage by producing growth and decreasing unemployment before elections. Earlier research on PBC in Albania found clear evidence of fiscal expansion before elections. In addition to increased income from taxes and borrowing, another source of financing the increased fiscal expansion in transition countries may be income from privatization, which is also the object of the analysis of this paper. In our analysis we apply standard econometric approach, used widely for research related to PBC. We test if income from privatization increases before elections. We find statistically significant increase of income from privatization before general (parliamentary) elections, which may lead us to conclude that one of the reasons may be to finance increased expenditures before elections. Another motivation, behind this behavior of the incumbent, may be rent - seeking. These results are of particular interest, as it is for the first time that income from privatization is analyzed in conjunction with PBC.

ISBN
978-3-931052-87-4
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BERG Working Paper Series on Government and Growth ; No. 77

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
National Budget; Budget Systems
Subject
Albania
Political Business Cycle
Privatization

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Imami, Drini
Lami, Endrit
Kächelein, Holger
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group on Government and Growth (BERG)
(where)
Bamberg
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Imami, Drini
  • Lami, Endrit
  • Kächelein, Holger
  • Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group on Government and Growth (BERG)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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