Arbeitspapier

Multilateralism versus Regionalism!?

The well-known question whether regional trade agreements (RTAs) and the multilateral trading system (MTS) are strangers, friends, or foes (Bhagwati and Panagariya, 1996) has gained new importance with the widespread proliferation of RTAs in recent years. Based on an extensive data set which covers most of world trade over the past 60 years and about 240 regional trade agreements, we analyze the relationship between RTAs and the MTS by combining the gravity model framework with vector auto-regression analysis. Impulse-response-functions robustly suggest that multilateral trade liberalization responds in a signifcantly positive way to regional trade liberalization. We also find robust evidence that RTA liberalization Granger-causes GATT/WTO liberalization. Thus, our results indicate that RTAs do not undermine the MTS but serve as building blocs to multilateral trade liberalization.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BGPE Discussion Paper ; No. 89

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Subject
Regionalism
multilateralism
trade agreement
gravity model
Handelsregionalismus
Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
Außenhandelsliberalisierung
Gravitationsmodell
Schätzung
Schätzung
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Herz, Bernhard
Wagner, Marco
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE)
(where)
Nürnberg
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Herz, Bernhard
  • Wagner, Marco
  • Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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