Arbeitspapier

Pension prefunding, ageing, and demographic uncertainty

Pension prefunding can be used to smoothe contribution rates in economies where ageing will increase pension expenditure. But how extensive should prefunding be, in a defined benefit pension system, when there is considerable uncertainty concerning future mortality, fertility, and migration? We study the prefunding rules in the Finnish earnings-related pension system with an OLG simulation model. Increasing the degree of prefunding could yield a more even intergenerational outcome and make future generations’ position better, but it is quite possible to overshoot and harm current generations too much. Making the degree of prefunding fertility-dependent seems a useful alternative. With declining fertility, current large cohorts would pay modestly increased contributions. The accumulated funds, however, will be huge in relation to the wage bills of smaller future cohorts. – Pensions ; partial prefunding ; ageing ; demographic uncertainty

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ETLA Discussion Papers ; No. 741

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Rentenfinanzierung
Theorie
Finnland
Alternde Bevölkerung

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lassila, Jukka
Valkonen, Tarmo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy (ETLA)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lassila, Jukka
  • Valkonen, Tarmo
  • The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy (ETLA)

Time of origin

  • 2000

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