Arbeitspapier

Oil dependency of the Russian economy: an econometric analysis

A macro econometric model of the Russian economy is developed, containing 13 estimated equations - covering major national account variables, government expenditures and revenues, interest rates, prices and the labour market. The model is tailored to analyze effects of changes in the oil price and economic policy variables. The model has good statistical properties and tracks history well over the estimation period, which runs from 1995Q1 to 2008Q1. Model simulations indicate that the Russian economy is vulnerable to large fluctuations in the oil price, but we also find evidence of significant economic growth capabilities in the absence of oil price growth.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 617

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Monetary Policy
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Energy and the Macroeconomy
Thema
Russia
macro econometric model
oil price dependency
fiscal and monetary policy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Benedictow, Andreas
Fjærtoft, Daniel
Løfsnæs, Ole
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Benedictow, Andreas
  • Fjærtoft, Daniel
  • Løfsnæs, Ole
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Entstanden

  • 2010

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