Arbeitspapier

Trade policy, income risk, and welfare

This paper studies empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk faced by workers. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. The estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are then used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic general equilibrium model with incomplete markets is used assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2004-09

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Incomplete Markets
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Thema
Trade Policy
Income Risk
Macroeconomics
Außenhandelspolitik
Einkommen
Risiko
Verarbeitendes Gewerbe
Dynamisches Gleichgewicht
Schätzung
Mexiko

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Krebs, Tom
Krishna, Pravin
Maloney, William
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Brown University, Department of Economics
(wo)
Providence, RI
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Krebs, Tom
  • Krishna, Pravin
  • Maloney, William
  • Brown University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2004

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