Bericht

How effective quantitative tightening can be with a higher-for-longer pledge?

We study the effect of quantitative tightening both without forward guidance and with higher for longer guidance. This is done by simulating quantitative tightening strategies in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model estimated with the euro area data. Quantitative tightening is quantified by a bond supply shock that raises the long-term term premium. Initially, we assume that quantitative tightening comes without forward guidance, meaning that central bank does not communicate any information regarding the future path of the policy rate. Subsequently, we consider quantitative tightening with forward guidance which is communicated through a higher for longer pledge. In addition, this higher for longer pledge is assumed to be fully credible. We find that if credible, quantitative tightening implemented with forward guidance in the form a higher for longer pledge can tighten monetary policy, albeit a little.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BoF Economics Review ; No. 1/2024

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Subject
monetary policy
quantitative tightening
forward guidance

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kortelainen, Mika
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2024

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:fi-fe202402167577
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Bericht

Associated

  • Kortelainen, Mika
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2024

Other Objects (12)