Arbeitspapier

Expected Utility and Catastrophic Risk

An expected utility based cost-benefit analysis is in general fragile to its distributional assumptions. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on the utility function of the expected utility model to avoid this. The conditions ensure that expected (marginal) utility remains finite also under heavy-tailed distributional assumptions. Our results are context-free and are relevant to many fields encountering catastrophic risk analysis, such as, perhaps most noticeably, insurance and risk management.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 14-133/III

Classification
Wirtschaft
Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Financial Institutions and Services: General
Subject
Expected utility
Catastrophe
Cost-benefit analysis
Risk management
Power utility
Exponential utility
Heavy tails

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ikefuji, Masako
Laeven, Roger
Magnus, Jan
Muris, Chris
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ikefuji, Masako
  • Laeven, Roger
  • Magnus, Jan
  • Muris, Chris
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2014

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