Arbeitspapier

Human capital mobility and convergence: A spatial dynamic panel model of the German regions

Since the fall of the iron curtain in 1989, the migration deficit of the Eastern part of Germany has accumulated to 1.8 million people, which is over 10 percent of its initial population. Depending on their human capital endowment, these migrants might either - in the case of low-skilled migration - accelerate or - in high-skilled case - impede convergence. Due to the availability of detailed data on regional human capital, migration and productivity growth, we are able to test how geographic mobility affects convergence via the human capital selectivity of migration. With regard to the endogeneity of the migration flows and human capital, we apply a dynamic panel data model within the framework of Ø-convergence and account for spatial dependence. The regressions indicate a positive, robust, but modest effect of a migration surplus on regional productivity growth. After controlling for human capital, the effect of migration decreases; this decrease indicates that skill selectivity is one way that migration impacts growth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IAB-Discussion Paper ; No. 23/2012

Classification
Wirtschaft
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
Human capital mobility
regional growth
spatial panel models
Regionale Entwicklung
Binnenwanderung
Humankapital
Entwicklungskonvergenz
Deutschland
Neue Bundesländer
Alte Bundesländer

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kubis, Alexander
Schneider, Lutz
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)
(where)
Nürnberg
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kubis, Alexander
  • Schneider, Lutz
  • Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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