Arbeitspapier

The mortgage rate conundrum

We document the emergence of a disconnect between mortgage and Treasury interest rates in the summer of 2003. Following the end of the Federal Reserve expansionary cycle in June 2003, mortgage rates failed to rise according to their historical relationship with Treasury yields, leading to significantly and persistently easier mortgage credit conditions. We uncover this phenomenon by analyzing a large dataset with millions of loan-level observations, which allows us to control for the impact of varying loan, borrower and geographic characteristics. These detailed data also reveal that delinquency rates started to rise for loans originated after mid 2003, exactly when mortgage rates disconnected from Treasury yields and credit became relatively cheaper.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2017-23

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Credit boom
housing boom
securitization
private label
subprime
Hypothekenzins
Zins
Öffentliche Anleihe
Hypothek
Kreditmarkt
Wohnungsmarkt
Konjunktur
Verbriefung
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Justiniano, Alejandro
Primiceri, Giorgio E.
Tambalotti, Andrea
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
(wo)
Chicago, IL
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Justiniano, Alejandro
  • Primiceri, Giorgio E.
  • Tambalotti, Andrea
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Entstanden

  • 2017

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