Arbeitspapier
Locust infestations and individual school dropout: Evidence from Africa
This paper examines the effect of desert locust infestations on school enrollment of children and young adults between 3 and 24 years of age. We combine individual and household survey data from the 2005-2019 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program with data on the spatial distribution of locust events in Africa. We show that months of exposure to locust infestations have a negative and statistically significant impact on individual schooling status. We find that individuals from farming households are affected more negatively by locust infestations than individuals from non-farming households. We also find that individuals from poorer farming households have a higher school dropout rate than individuals from wealthier farming households, highlighting the role of negative income shocks as a possible transmission mechanism for the effects of desert locust events. Our results also show that the estimated effect is amplified by the household's head educational status. A series of additional robustness tests further corroborate our main findings. We provide a quantitative assessment of the impact of a permanent 1.5 °C rise in global temperature on the frequency of locust events and possible implications for schooling outcomes over time. The results show that a 1.5 °C rise in temperature will decrease accumulated years of schooling by about 1.2 years over a period of 10 years.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: Oldenburg Discussion Papers in Economics ; No. V-440-23
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Analysis of Education
Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
- Subject
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Desert Locust
Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program
School Enrollment
Income Shocks
Current Schooling
Farmers
Africa
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Asare, Abigail O.
Dannemann, Bernhard Christopher
Gören, Erkan
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics
- (where)
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Oldenburg
- (when)
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2023
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Asare, Abigail O.
- Dannemann, Bernhard Christopher
- Gören, Erkan
- University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics
Time of origin
- 2023