Arbeitspapier

Locust infestations and individual school dropout: Evidence from Africa

This paper examines the effect of desert locust infestations on school enrollment of children and young adults between 3 and 24 years of age. We combine individual and household survey data from the 2005-2019 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program with data on the spatial distribution of locust events in Africa. We show that months of exposure to locust infestations have a negative and statistically significant impact on individual schooling status. We find that individuals from farming households are affected more negatively by locust infestations than individuals from non-farming households. We also find that individuals from poorer farming households have a higher school dropout rate than individuals from wealthier farming households, highlighting the role of negative income shocks as a possible transmission mechanism for the effects of desert locust events. Our results also show that the estimated effect is amplified by the household's head educational status. A series of additional robustness tests further corroborate our main findings. We provide a quantitative assessment of the impact of a permanent 1.5 °C rise in global temperature on the frequency of locust events and possible implications for schooling outcomes over time. The results show that a 1.5 °C rise in temperature will decrease accumulated years of schooling by about 1.2 years over a period of 10 years.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Oldenburg Discussion Papers in Economics ; No. V-440-23

Classification
Wirtschaft
Analysis of Education
Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Subject
Desert Locust
Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program
School Enrollment
Income Shocks
Current Schooling
Farmers
Africa

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Asare, Abigail O.
Dannemann, Bernhard Christopher
Gören, Erkan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics
(where)
Oldenburg
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Asare, Abigail O.
  • Dannemann, Bernhard Christopher
  • Gören, Erkan
  • University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2023

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