Arbeitspapier

Financial Development and Export Concentration

This paper analyzes the impact of financial development on export concentration. I incorporate credit constraints into a trade model with heterogeneous exporters and endogenous quality choice. The model predicts that financial development increases innovation activity and export shares of larger firms. In contrast, a model variant in which exporters have to finance production costs instead of investments suggests a negative impact of financial development on export concentration as smaller firms benefit more from relaxing credit constraints. These opposing predictions are tested using export data for 70 countries over the period 1997-2014 and exploiting variation in external finance dependence across sectors. I find strong support for the predictions of the investment model that higher financial development increases export concentration among top firms, especially in sectors with high external finance dependence and large scope for quality differentiation. This effect is also present within firms: financial development induces exporters to skew their sales towards the top performing products. I finally show in a counterfactual analysis that financial frictions are quantitatively important to explain the variation in the skewness of exports across countries and sectors.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10305

Classification
Wirtschaft
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Empirical Studies of Trade
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Subject
international trade
superstar firms
export concentration
external finance
credit constraints
financial development
innovation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Unger, Florian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Unger, Florian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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