Arbeitspapier

Non-constant hazard function and inflation dynamics

This paper explores implications of nominal rigidity characterized by a non-constant hazard function for aggregate dynamics. I derive the NKPC under an arbitrary hazard function and parameterize it with the Weibull duration model. The resulting Phillips curve involves lagged inflation and lagged expectations. It nests the Calvo NKPC as a limiting case in the sense that the effects of both terms are canceled out under the constant-hazard assumption. Furthermore, I find lagged inflation always has negative coefficients, thereby making it impossible to interpret inflation persistence as intrinsic. The numerical evaluation shows that the increasing hazard function leads to hump-shaped impulse responses of inflation to monetary shocks, and output leads inflation.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: SFB 649 Discussion Paper ; No. 2009,030

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Thema
Hazard function
Weibull distribution
New Keynesian Phillips Curve
New-Keynesian Phillips Curve
Statistische Bestandsanalyse
Preisrigidität
Theorie
Inflation
Lag-Modell
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Yao, Fang
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2009

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Yao, Fang
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk

Entstanden

  • 2009

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