Arbeitspapier
Asian development outlook forecast accuracy 2007-2016
This is done in relation to the benchmark of World Economic Outlook (WEO) projections by the International Monetary Fund. Amid much heterogeneity across countries and years, it has been found that ADO and WEO projections overlap quite closely. Both are inaccurate, especially during crisis years, suggesting that forecasters struggle to come up with reliable forecasts. Projections only sharpen when additional data and evidence become available over time and are incorporated during quarterly revisions.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 568
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- Thema
-
Asian Development Bank
Asian Development Outlook
International Monetary Fund
macroeconomic forecasts
World Economic Outlook
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Ferrarini, Benno
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
- (wo)
-
Manila
- (wann)
-
2019
- DOI
-
doi:10.22617/WPS199903-2
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Ferrarini, Benno
- Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Entstanden
- 2019