Arbeitspapier

Asian development outlook forecast accuracy 2007-2016

This is done in relation to the benchmark of World Economic Outlook (WEO) projections by the International Monetary Fund. Amid much heterogeneity across countries and years, it has been found that ADO and WEO projections overlap quite closely. Both are inaccurate, especially during crisis years, suggesting that forecasters struggle to come up with reliable forecasts. Projections only sharpen when additional data and evidence become available over time and are incorporated during quarterly revisions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 568

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Thema
Asian Development Bank
Asian Development Outlook
International Monetary Fund
macroeconomic forecasts
World Economic Outlook

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ferrarini, Benno
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
(wo)
Manila
(wann)
2019

DOI
doi:10.22617/WPS199903-2
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ferrarini, Benno
  • Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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