Arbeitspapier

Are Market Makers Uninformed and Passive? Signing Trades in The Absence of Quotes

We develop a new likelihood-based approach to sign trades in the absence of quotes. It is equally efficient as existing MCMC methods, but more than 10 times faster. It can deal with the occurrence of multiple trades at the same time, and noisily observed trade times. We apply this method to a high-frequency dataset of the 30Y U.S. treasury futures to investigate the role of the market maker. Most theory characterizes him as an uninformed passive liquidity supplier. Our results suggest that some market makers actively demand liquidity for a substantial part of the day and are informed speculators.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 09-046/3

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Subject
market microstructure
signing trades
market makers
treasury futures
discount rate
Informationsverhalten
Börsenmakler
Wertpapierhandel
Staatspapier
Marktmikrostruktur
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van der Wel, Michel
Menkveld, Albert
Sarkar, Asani
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van der Wel, Michel
  • Menkveld, Albert
  • Sarkar, Asani
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2009

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