Arbeitspapier

A Test for the Portion of Bivariate Dependence in Multivariate Tail Risk

In practice, multivariate dependencies between extreme risks are often only assessed in a pairwise way. We propose a test to detect when tail dependence is truly high-dimensional and bivariate simplifications would produce misleading results. This occurs when a significant portion of the multivariate dependence structure in the tails is of higher dimension than two. Our test statistic is based on a decomposition of the stable tail dependence function, which is standard in extreme value theory for describing multivariate tail dependence. The asymptotic properties of the test are provided and a bootstrap based finite sample version of the test is suggested. A simulation study documents the good performance of the test for standard sample sizes. In an application to international government bonds, we detect a high tail{risk and low return situation during the last decade which can essentially be attributed to increased higher{order tail risk. We also illustrate the empirical consequences from ignoring higher-dimensional tail risk.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 14-024/III

Classification
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Econometric and Statistical Methods: Other
Subject
decomposition of tail dependence
multivariate extreme values
stable tail dependence function
subsample bootstrap
tail correlation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bormann, Carsten
Schienle, Melanie
Schaumburg, Julia
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bormann, Carsten
  • Schienle, Melanie
  • Schaumburg, Julia
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2014

Other Objects (12)