Arbeitspapier

The Political Economy of the Covid-19 Fiscal Stimulus Packages of 2020

Almost all countries announced fiscal support programs once COVID-19 hit. However, there was significant diversity in the magnitude and composition of these fiscal stimulus programs. These differences were determined by myriad political, financial, social, and economic factors - these factors are our focus. We ask what were the factors that are associated with the structure of the fiscal programs that governments chose to adopt in the early stage of the pandemic in 2020. We answer this question using details about the fiscal programs that were announced by 98 governments in the first six months of the pandemic, together with a large set of explanatory variables. Maybe not surprisingly, we find that politics played a very significant part in determining the size and composition of these fiscal programs. Governments and societies that are less polarized and more capable were able to mobilise more fiscal resources. We also find that it was governments with bigger debt loads that announced bigger programs, but that sovereign spreads were not so clearly associated with the size of these program plans. There is a limit, however, to what we can glean from these cross-country comparisons. Ultimately, the understanding of the politics and political-economy considerations that led to the specific content of each fiscal program will have to rely on information about the actual deliberations in each government's halls of power, should these ever become public.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9341

Classification
Wirtschaft
Crisis Management
National Deficit; Surplus
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Disaster Aid
Subject
Covid-19
fiscal
political economy of fiscal spending
fiscal space

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aizenman, Joshua
Jinjarak, Yothin
Nguyen, Hien
Noy, Ilan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aizenman, Joshua
  • Jinjarak, Yothin
  • Nguyen, Hien
  • Noy, Ilan
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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