Arbeitspapier

Nominal Exchange Rate Dynamics in the European Monetary System

The EMS is modeled as imposing dual reflecting barriers on the exchange rate process. This policy leads to a state-dependent conditional variance for exchange rate changes. This variance is always less than that under a pure free float regime. A method of Simulated Moments procedure is employed to estimate the parameters of the model. Simulations with the estimated parameter values show that the model predicts non-normality and non-stationarity in the distribution of exchange rate changes and that these characteristics diminish with aggregation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 779

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Browian motion
target zones
leptokurtosis
ARCH
Method of Simulated Moments

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Spencer, Michael G.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(where)
Kingston (Ontario)
(when)
1990

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Spencer, Michael G.
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 1990

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