Arbeitspapier

Investigating the Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on GCC Stock Markets

This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible asymmetric reaction in equities. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price changes. We document that oil price changes have asymmetric effects on stock returns in some GCC countries, but not for others. More specifically, we find four out of six GCC stock markets that are more sensitive to large oil deviations than to small ones. Our results highlight the importance of economic stabilization and reform policies that can potentially reduce the sensitivity of stock returns to oil price changes, especially with regard to the existence of asymmetric behavior.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 13853

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Energy and the Macroeconomy
Subject
GCC stock markets
oil prices
smooth transition regression models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine
Ben Naceur, Sami
Kanaan, Oussama
Rault, Christophe
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine
  • Ben Naceur, Sami
  • Kanaan, Oussama
  • Rault, Christophe
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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