Arbeitspapier

Carbon Leakage: A Medium- and Long-Term View

Future market developments determine the fate of fossil fuel carbon currently conserved unilaterally. Dynamic fuel depletion naturally suggests leakage rates approaching 100%. Reasons for lower leakage differ from what limits rates in previous studies. Discounting reduces present-value leakage as global emissions are delayed. Containing climate change requires future global political or technological breakthroughs to conserve some carbon forever. Early breakthroughs limit leakage but with late breakthroughs most unilateral emission reductions may be negated abroad. Future coal liquefaction suggests negative leakage rates for current mitigation, but a perfect backstop allows leakage above unity. Leakage rates and suggested taxes vary across fuels.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5216

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices
Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Taxation and Subsidies: Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
Thema
unilateral climate policy
emission impulse response
fossil fuel depletion
dynamic carbon leakage
discounting
fuel specific carbon tax
coal liquefaction
backstop
OECD

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Habermacher, Florian
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Habermacher, Florian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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