Arbeitspapier

A Fragile Pillar: Statutory Pensions and the Risk of Old-age Poverty in Germany

The statutory pension system is still the most important income source among seniorcitizens in Germany. Due to increasing disruptions in employment biographies since the1970s and due to the mass unemployment in Eastern Germany since the 1990s, there isa growing fear of post-retirement poverty in Germany. We develop a micro-simulationmodel to compare the distribution of statutory pension incomes for new retirees in 2020with those in 2004. The pension income distribution is calculated for Eastern andWestern Germany separately, for men and women, and for different skill levels.Throughout Germany, we find a growing post-retirement poverty, especially for lowskilledworkers. Eastern Germany will lose its current advantage in terms of highpensions and low inequality.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ifo Working Paper ; No. 76

Classification
Wirtschaft
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
Subject
Statutory pension system
old-age poverty risk
pension distribution
education

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Krenz, Stefan
Nagl, Wolfgang
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
(where)
Munich
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Krenz, Stefan
  • Nagl, Wolfgang
  • ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Time of origin

  • 2009

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